The 2015 Annual Congress of the Peruvian Economic Association
Universidad del Pacífico
Lima, August 7-8, 2015
Friday 8 August, 2015
Universidad del Pacífico
Lima, August 7-8, 2015
Friday 8 August, 2015
| 08:00 – 08:45 | Registration |
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Edificio H |
Jr. Sánchez Cerro 2121 |
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08:45 – 9:00 |
Welcome Speech |
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Auditorio Juan |
David Mayorga, Vice-chancellor of the Universidad del Pacífico |
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09:00 – 10:30 |
Session 1 |
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Aula H-201 |
Session 1A: Dollarization “Income Distribution and Endogenous Dollarisation” “Dedollarization and Financial Robustness” “Which Dollar Debt Trigger the Balance Sheet Effect? Evidence for Peruvian Firms” |
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Aula H-202 |
Session 1B: Microeconomic Analysis “Input Allocation, Workforce Management and Productivity Spillovers: Evidence from Personnel Data” “Determinants of the Job Satisfaction of PhD Holders: An Analysis by Gender, Employment Sector and Type of Satisfaction in Spain” “Reversing Brain Drain: Evidence from Malaysia’s Returning Expert Program” |
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Aula H-203 |
Session 1C: Macroeconomic Effects and Forecast “Aggregate Inflation Forecast with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models” “What Type of Uncertainty Matters for the Forex Market?” “Calendar Effects in Latin American Stock Markets” |
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Aula H-301 |
Session 1D: Policy Effects 1 “El efecto de One Laptop per Child en las prácticas de enseñanza y en la distribución del tiempo dentro del hogar” “Home Computers, Internet and Child Outcomes: Medium-Term Impacts from a Randomized Experiment in Peru” “Effects of Early Childhood Development Interventions on Parental Behaviour: Evidence from a Home-Visiting Programme in Peru” |
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Aula H-302 |
Session 1E: Public Goods “Economía de la congestión análisis de la dinámica del tráfico en la carretera central” “Relación entre el número de rivales y el precio: el caso de los servicios notariales” “Mercados de capacidad y confiabilidad en el sector eléctrico: aspectos conceptuales y experiencias internacionales” |
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Aula H-303 |
Session 1F: Macroeconomics and Finance “Estimación bayesiana de un modelo de economía abierta con dolarización parcial, vínculos reales-financieros y precios de petróleo” “Inflation Targeting, Monetary Policy Instruments and the Short Run Interest Rate: New Evidence of Fear of Floating in Peru since 2013” “Determinantes del margen financiero en el sector microfinanciero: el caso peruano (2002-2013)” |
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10:30 – 10:45 |
Coffee break (Hall del edificio H) |
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10:45 – 12:15 |
Session 2 |
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Aula H-201 |
Session 2A: Exchange Rate “Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-through: Evidence from Peru” “El flujo de órdenes, el retorno de la divisa y su valor intrínseco – el caso peruano” “Identifying the Exchange-rate Balance Sheet Effect over Firms” |
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Aula H-202 |
Session 2B: Microeconomics “Identification of Treatment and Counterfactual Distributions from Data Combination and Unobserved Heterogeneity” “Inconspicuous Conspicuous Consumption” “Specific Investment and Contract Design: Evidence from Public Transportation” |
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Aula H-203 |
Session 2C: Sector Analysis “Complementariedades en las decisiones de innovación y el nivel de producción en la industria manufacturera peruana” “La rentabilidad de las empresas mineras en el centro y en la periferia” “Análisis del comportamiento grupal de los fondos de pensiones respecto a sus estrategias de inversión” |
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Aula H-301 |
Session 2D: Business Finance “Modelo de supervivencia empresarial a partir del índice Z de Altman” “Facilidad para hacer negocios y desempeño económico: vínculos y oportunidades de política” “Microcredit Differences in the Regulated Financial System: Peru 2010-2014” |
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Aula H-302 |
Session 2E: Agriculture “Carreteras y agricultura: el efecto de la infraestructura vial en el desarrollo agrícola de la sierra peruana” “More of Less isn’t Less of More: Assessing Environmental Impacts of Genetically Modified Seeds in Brazilian Agriculture” “Estimating the Short Term Impacts of a Fruit Fly Eradication Program in Peru: A Geographical Regression Discontinuity Approach” |
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Aula H-303 |
Session 2F: Prudential Regulation and Financial Inclusion “Indicadores alternativos de riesgo de crédito en el Perú: matrices de transición crediticia condicionadas al ciclo económico” “Using Electronic Money through the Mobile Phone as the Key Platform to Improve Financial Inclusion in Peru” “Fine-Tuning Regulation based on Access Indicators” |
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12:15 – 13:15 |
Plenary of Macroeconomics |
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Auditorio |
Europe in Crisis |
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13:15 – 14:30 |
Lunch (contributors at terraza del 6to piso pabellón B) |
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14:30 – 16:00 |
Session 3 |
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Aula H-201 |
Session 3A: Credit, Growth and Development |
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“Aceleraciones crediticias: identificación de eventos y hechos estilizados” “Foreign Capital and Economic Growth in Emerging Markets: Are Foreign Aid and Foreign Direct Investment substitutes?” “The Local Impact of Mining on Poverty and Inequality: Evidence from the Commodity Boom in Peru” |
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Aula H-202 |
Session 3B: Education 1 “El efecto de la educación pre-escolar sobre los rendimientos escolares en Perú, India y Etiopía” “Rendimiento escolar en el Perú: análisis secuencial de los resultados de la Evaluación Censal de Estudiantes” “How Does Latin America Stand on Schooling Premium? What Does It Reveal about Its Education Quality? Evidence from Immigrants in the U.S.” |
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Aula H-203 |
Session 3C: Economic Crisis “Anatomía de la crisis financiera de 2008” “Contractual Imperfections and the Impact of Crises on Trade” “Peru’s Great Depression A Perfect Storm?” |
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Aula H-301 |
Session 3D: Policy Effects 2 “El efecto de las habilidades cognitivas y socioemocionales sobre la adopción de conductas de riesgo” “The Structural Relationship between Early Nutrition, Cognitive and Non-cognitive Skills in Four Developing Countries” “Information and Communication Technologies, Prenatal Care Services and Neonatal Health” |
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Aula H-302 |
Session 3E: Poverty “General Equilibrium Analysis of Conditional Cash Transfers” “The Road to the Long Run: Anti-poor Short-term Effects and Recovery Dynamics of the 2007 Peru Earthquake” “Endogenous Weights and Measurement Externalities in Counting Poverty Indices” |
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Aula H-303 |
Session 3F: Agriculture and Labor Market “Impactos de la actividad minero-energética en el desarrollo socio-económico, agrícola y en la diversificación productiva del Perú” “Mercados laborales y efectos heterogéneos de la educación en la adopción tecnológica en la agricultura peruana” “Fear of Rigidities: The Role of Expectations on Employment in Peru” |
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16:00 – 16:15 |
Coffee break (Hall del edificio H) |
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16:15 – 17:30 |
Plenary Session |
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Auditorio |
The Political Economy of Dynamic Elections: A Survey and Some New Results |
Saturday 8 August, 2015
| 9:00 – 10:30 | Session 4 |
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Aula A-402 |
Session 4A: Effects on Households “When the Total is More Than the Sum of Parts: Infrastructure Complementarities” “Impactos heterogéneos del acceso a internet sobre el bienestar: evidencia a partir de microdatos en el Perú” “The Cost of Failing to Prevent Gas Supply Interruption: A CGE Assessment for Peru” |
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Aula A-403 |
Session 4B: External Macroeconomic Shocks “In the Quest of Forecasting the Terms of Trade in a Primary Producer Economy” “Comparing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks in Latin America: A Hierarchical Panel VAR” “Volatility Shocks in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Peru” |
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Aula A-406 |
Session 4C: Political Economy “The Impact of Capital Expenditure on the Probability of Reelection of Mayors at the District Level” “Administraciones internacionales vs ocupaciones militares: estudios de caso” “The Political Effects of Resource Booms: Political Outcomes, Clientelism and Public Goods Provision in Peru” |
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Aula A-407 |
Session 4D: Macroeconomics “Interactions Between Job Search and Housing Decisions: A Structural Estimation” “Interbank Market and Macroprudential Tools in a DSGE Model” “Currency Option Trading Strategies as an Alternative to Central Bank Spot Market Interventions” |
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Aula A-408 |
Session 4E: Education 2 “Undisclosed Effects of Privatization: School Choice and Out of School Educational Investments in Urban Peru” “El efecto de Fe y Alegría sobre los rendimientos escolares: un experimento natural” “An Evaluation of ‘Juego y Aprendo’ An Innovative Model to Provide preprimary Education in Rural Honduras” |
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10:30 – 11:00 |
Coffee break |
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11:00 – 12:30 |
Panel: ¿Qué reformas hacer para evitar la posible trampa de ingresos medios en el Perú? |
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Auditorio |
Piero Ghezzi, Minister of Production |
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12:30 |
End of Congress |